近期，美國總統川普派遣國務卿馬可·魯比奧（Marco Rubio）前往沙烏地阿拉伯首都利雅德，與俄羅斯外長謝爾蓋·拉夫羅夫（Sergey Lavrov）進行自2022年俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭以來最深入的會談。

這場長達四小時的會談旨在修復美俄之間緊張的外交關係，雙方同意設立專責團隊，以逐步恢復大使館人員配置，並探討如何推動烏克蘭和平談判的可行方案。此外，川普總統在會後公開表示，他希望俄羅斯重新加入七國集團（G7），並直指烏克蘭總統澤倫斯基，批評他未能在過去三年內與俄羅斯達成和平協議。

川普的言論隨即在國際間引發廣泛討論，尤其是烏克蘭方面對此表達強烈不滿。澤倫斯基總統明確聲明，烏克蘭不會接受任何未經其參與的和平協議，並強調該國在戰爭與談判過程中應擁有發言權。他還進一步警告國際社會，不應輕信俄羅斯總統普亭的承諾，強調烏克蘭的主權與領土完整不容妥協。根據知情人士透露，川普政府已向烏克蘭提出極具爭議的條件，要求烏克蘭將其稀有礦產資源的一半提供給美國，以作為對先前軍事援助的補償。此外，川普還提出要求，烏克蘭必須割讓東部四個州與克里米亞半島予俄羅斯，以換取戰爭的停火協議。這些要求被視為對烏克蘭國家主權與領土完整的嚴重挑戰，並可能進一步惡化地區局勢。

在此背景下，烏克蘭與俄羅斯的戰爭前景變得更加撲朔迷離。美國與俄羅斯的直接談判，以及美國對烏克蘭的施壓，可能導致烏克蘭在國際談判中被邊緣化。然而，烏克蘭政府依然堅持，不會接受任何未經其同意的協議，並積極尋求其他國際盟友的支持，以確保自身利益不受損害。

與此同時，川普對澤倫斯基的公開批評，以及對俄羅斯的潛在讓步，已引發歐洲盟國的高度關切。許多歐洲國家擔憂，美國的單邊行動可能會削弱北約的團結，並進一步影響對烏克蘭的軍事與經濟支持。歐盟領袖強調，任何和平進程都應基於國際法，並確保烏克蘭的主權不受侵犯。

展望未來，烏克蘭與俄羅斯之間的戰爭將如何發展，仍取決於美國、歐洲各國與俄羅斯之間的外交角力。若美俄雙方進一步推動單方面協議，烏克蘭可能會轉向加強與歐洲盟友的合作，甚至尋求擴大軍事支持，以確保其國家安全與領土完整。在這場國際角力中，各方勢力如何協調，將決定烏俄戰爭的最終走向。

Recently, U.S. President Donald Trump dispatched Secretary of State Marco Rubio to Riyadh, the capital of Saudi Arabia, to hold the most in-depth talks since Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov.

The four-hour meeting aimed to ease diplomatic tensions between the U.S. and Russia. Both sides agreed to establish a dedicated team to gradually restore embassy personnel and explore feasible solutions for promoting peace talks in Ukraine. Additionally, President Trump publicly stated after the meeting that he hopes Russia will rejoin the Group of Seven (G7) and directly criticized Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, blaming him for failing to reach a peace agreement with Russia over the past three years.

Trump's remarks quickly sparked widespread discussion on the international stage, especially drawing strong opposition from Ukraine. President Zelensky explicitly stated that Ukraine would not accept any peace agreement reached without its participation and stressed that his country must have a voice in both the war and negotiation process. He further warned the international community against trusting Russian President Vladimir Putin’s promises, emphasizing that Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity are non-negotiable.

According to informed sources, the Trump administration has put forward highly controversial demands, requiring Ukraine to provide the U.S. with half of its rare mineral resources as compensation for previous military aid. Additionally, Trump has demanded that Ukraine cede four eastern regions and the Crimean Peninsula to Russia in exchange for a ceasefire agreement. These demands are seen as a serious challenge to Ukraine’s national sovereignty and territorial integrity and could further destabilize the regional situation.

Against this backdrop, the outlook for the Ukraine-Russia war has become increasingly uncertain. Direct negotiations between the U.S. and Russia, along with mounting U.S. pressure on Ukraine, may result in Ukraine being marginalized in international peace talks. However, the Ukrainian government remains firm in its stance, refusing to accept any agreements made without its consent and actively seeking support from other international allies to safeguard its interests.

At the same time, Trump’s public criticism of Zelensky and potential concessions to Russia have raised significant concerns among European allies. Many European nations fear that unilateral actions by the U.S. could weaken NATO unity and impact military and economic support for Ukraine. European Union leaders have stressed that any peace process must be based on international law and ensure Ukraine’s sovereignty remains intact.

Looking ahead, the future of the Ukraine-Russia war will depend on diplomatic maneuvering between the U.S., European countries, and Russia. If the U.S. and Russia push for unilateral agreements, Ukraine may pivot toward strengthening ties with European allies and seeking expanded military support to ensure its national security and territorial integrity. In this complex geopolitical struggle, how various forces coordinate their interests will ultimately determine the final outcome of the Ukraine-Russia conflict.

照片:DALLE3