2025年11月4日，加拿大政治與經濟界掀起一場關於「國家獨立性」與「對美依賴」的激烈辯論。根據加拿大民調機構「阿巴卡斯數據公司」（Abacus Data）最新公布的調查結果，高達七成以上的加拿大人表示願意以經濟成長放緩為代價，來換取減少對美國的依賴。這項結果在全國引起廣泛討論，顯示出加拿大社會對長期依附美國市場與政策的不安情緒日益加深。

同日，加拿大聯邦政府也正式公布新任總理卡尼（Mark Carney）上任以來的首份財政預算案。這份預算案的規模高達 1410億加元，核心目標在於「強化國內產業競爭力、降低對美貿易依存度、並加速經濟自主轉型」。卡尼在渥太華的記者會上強調：「加拿大必須為下一個時代做好準備，這意味著不能再讓美國的經濟政策決定我們的命運。」

卡尼的預算案被外界視為對美國近期「貿易懲罰措施」的直接回應。就在數週前，華盛頓宣布對所有未納入《美國－墨西哥－加拿大協定》（USMCA）範圍內的加拿大出口商品加徵35%關稅，這一舉措嚴重衝擊加拿大的製造、林木與能源等出口產業。美方聲稱此舉是為了「保護美國就業與供應鏈安全」，但在加拿大國內被批評為「經濟脅迫行為」。

在這樣的背景下，卡尼政府提出的預算案不僅是一份經濟文件，更被視為一場國家戰略轉向的宣言。根據預算案內容，未來五年加拿大將投入 1兆加元的國內投資計畫，重點包括擴建本國半導體、電動車電池、清潔能源及人工智慧產業鏈，並推動與歐盟及亞太地區的自由貿易協定談判，以分散出口市場結構。

值得注意的是，這份預算案在加拿大社會內部同樣引發爭議。支持者認為這是加拿大「重新奪回經濟主權」的必要一步，認為過去過度依賴美國導致在關鍵產業缺乏自主權，一旦美國政策轉向，加拿大往往被迫被動調整。反對者則批評此舉可能導致通膨上升與就業市場不穩，擔心高額公共投資將進一步推高財政赤字與國債負擔。

學者分析指出，加拿大自北美自由貿易協定（NAFTA）以來，與美國的經貿關係極為緊密，目前超過 75% 的出口商品仍流向美國市場。這樣的依賴雖在過去帶來穩定收益，卻也讓加拿大在全球經濟格局變動時缺乏靈活性。隨著美國「優先本土」政策愈發強硬，加拿大的戰略調整似乎已成必然。

整體而言，這場「去美化」的政策與輿論浪潮，反映出加拿大社會對自身經濟主權的再思考。卡尼政府的1410億加元預算案不僅是財政刺激，更是一場政治宣示：加拿大將嘗試在北美大陸經濟中走出屬於自己的道路，即便這條路代價高昂，也在所不惜。

On November 4, 2025, Canada entered a heated national debate over its economic independence and growing unease about reliance on the United States. A new survey released by Abacus Data, a leading Canadian polling agency, revealed that more than 70% of Canadians are willing to accept slower economic growth in exchange for reducing the country’s dependence on the U.S. The results underscored a deepening public concern about the risks of economic overreliance on its powerful southern neighbor.

On the same day, the Canadian federal government unveiled Prime Minister Mark Carney’s first fiscal budget since taking office. The plan allocates a massive 141 billion Canadian dollars to strengthen Canada’s domestic industries, reduce U.S. trade dependence, and accelerate economic diversification. During a press conference in Ottawa, Carney stated, “Canada must prepare for the next era — one where our economic destiny is not determined by Washington’s decisions.”

Carney’s budget is widely seen as a direct response to Washington’s latest trade measures, which imposed a 35% tariff on all Canadian exports not covered under the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA). The U.S. government justified the move as a step to “protect American jobs and supply chain security,” but Canadian officials denounced it as economic coercion that threatens key national industries such as manufacturing, forestry, and energy.

In this context, Carney’s fiscal plan is more than an economic proposal—it represents a strategic shift in national policy. According to the budget, Canada will invest 1 trillion Canadian dollars over the next five years to boost domestic industries in semiconductors, electric vehicle batteries, clean energy, and artificial intelligence. The government also plans to expand trade partnerships with the European Union and the Asia-Pacific region to diversify export markets and reduce economic exposure to the U.S.

The ambitious plan has sparked both support and criticism. Supporters hail it as a bold and necessary step toward reclaiming Canada’s economic sovereignty, arguing that years of dependence on the U.S. have left the country vulnerable to external policy shifts. Opponents, however, warn that the strategy could fuel inflation, destabilize the job market, and dramatically increase public debt, questioning whether Canada’s fiscal system can sustain such a large-scale investment.

Experts note that since the signing of NAFTA, Canada’s economy has been deeply intertwined with the United States, with over 75% of Canadian exports currently heading south of the border. While this integration has historically supported growth, it has also limited Canada’s flexibility in responding to global economic changes. With Washington’s “America First” policies growing more protectionist, Ottawa’s move toward economic self-reliance appears increasingly inevitable.

In essence, the new policy direction and public sentiment signal a turning point in Canada’s modern economic history. Carney’s 141-billion-dollar budget is not merely a fiscal blueprint but a political declaration — that Canada is ready to chart its own course in North America’s economic landscape, even if doing so comes with significant short-term costs.